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SenateD 47R 53
HouseD 212R 219
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2026 Cycle · Turn 1

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Silver Bulletin AvgGeneric Ballot D+8.1as of Aug 11
FEC FINANCE
Alabama: composite congressional lean R+27.6; Cook PVI R+29.6; 2024 actual R+48.9; 2026 forecast R+19.1; 2026 Senate race rated Safe RAlaska: composite congressional lean R+7.1; Cook PVI R+13.3; 2024 actual R+1; 2026 forecast R+5; 2026 Senate race rated Toss-upArizona: composite congressional lean R+1.8; Cook PVI R+3.9; 2024 actual R+0.8; 2026 forecast R+0.8Colorado: composite congressional lean D+11.7; Cook PVI D+11.4; 2024 actual D+10.2; 2026 forecast D+12.4; 2026 Senate race rated Safe DFlorida: composite congressional lean R+7; Cook PVI R+9.5; 2024 actual R+14.4; 2026 forecast R+2.8Georgia: composite congressional lean D+0.8; Cook PVI R+2.2; 2024 actual R+5.2; 2026 forecast D+4.8; 2026 Senate race rated Lean DIndiana: composite congressional lean R+13.8; Cook PVI R+19.1; 2024 actual R+20.4; 2026 forecast R+8.1Kansas: composite congressional lean R+17.2; Cook PVI R+16.9; 2024 actual R+17.5; 2026 forecast R+17.3; 2026 Senate race rated Safe RMaine: composite congressional lean D+6.1; Cook PVI D+7; 2024 actual D+20.6; 2026 forecast D+0.6; 2026 Senate race rated Toss-upMassachusetts: composite congressional lean D+28.1; Cook PVI D+28.8; 2024 actual D+45.2; 2026 forecast D+22; 2026 Senate race rated Safe DMinnesota: composite congressional lean D+6.4; Cook PVI D+4.6; 2024 actual D+8.5; 2026 forecast D+6.9; 2026 Senate race rated Likely DNew Jersey: composite congressional lean D+12.7; Cook PVI D+9.9; 2024 actual D+8.8; 2026 forecast D+15.9; 2026 Senate race rated Safe DNorth Carolina: composite congressional lean R+0.9; Cook PVI R+3.5; 2024 actual R+10.3; 2026 forecast D+4; 2026 Senate race rated Lean DNorth Dakota: composite congressional lean R+28.4; Cook PVI R+37.1; 2024 actual R+36; 2026 forecast R+20Oklahoma: composite congressional lean R+28.4; Cook PVI R+35.6; 2024 actual R+35.4; 2026 forecast R+21.2; 2026 Senate race rated Safe RPennsylvania: composite congressional lean R+0.3; Cook PVI R+1.5; 2024 actual R+1.2; 2026 forecast D+0.7South Dakota: composite congressional lean R+26.5; Cook PVI R+29.6; 2024 actual R+44.1; 2026 forecast R+18.6; 2026 Senate race rated Safe RTexas: composite congressional lean R+6.2; Cook PVI R+11; 2024 actual R+13.4; 2026 forecast R+0.5; 2026 Senate race rated Lean RWyoming: composite congressional lean R+34.5; Cook PVI R+47.2; 2024 actual R+50.9; 2026 forecast R+20.5; 2026 Senate race rated Safe RConnecticut: composite congressional lean D+13.9; Cook PVI D+16.3; 2024 actual D+17.4; 2026 forecast D+11.2Missouri: composite congressional lean R+14.2; Cook PVI R+18.4; 2024 actual R+17.3; 2026 forecast R+10.4West Virginia: composite congressional lean R+31.9; Cook PVI R+42.4; 2024 actual R+42.4; 2026 forecast R+21.3; 2026 Senate race rated Safe RIllinois: composite congressional lean D+13.1; Cook PVI D+13; 2024 actual D+5.8; 2026 forecast D+15.6; 2026 Senate race rated Safe DNew Mexico: composite congressional lean D+10.2; Cook PVI D+7.4; 2024 actual D+10.1; 2026 forecast D+12; 2026 Senate race rated Safe DArkansas: composite congressional lean R+27; Cook PVI R+31.1; 2024 actual R+36.1; 2026 forecast R+21.3; 2026 Senate race rated Safe RCalifornia: composite congressional lean D+20.9; Cook PVI D+24.1; 2024 actual D+18.6; 2026 forecast D+19.5Delaware: composite congressional lean D+16.1; Cook PVI D+15.9; 2024 actual D+16.7; 2026 forecast D+16.1; 2026 Senate race rated Safe DHawaii: composite congressional lean D+25; Cook PVI D+25.6; 2024 actual D+37.2; 2026 forecast D+20.6Iowa: composite congressional lean R+6.5; Cook PVI R+12.1; 2024 actual R+13; 2026 forecast R+0.6; 2026 Senate race rated Lean RKentucky: composite congressional lean R+27.1; Cook PVI R+29.9; 2024 actual R+46.2; 2026 forecast R+18.8; 2026 Senate race rated Safe RMaryland: composite congressional lean D+22.3; Cook PVI D+30.6; 2024 actual D+20.6; 2026 forecast D+17.3Michigan: composite congressional lean R+0.6; Cook PVI R+0.5; 2024 actual R+0.5; 2026 forecast R+0.6; 2026 Senate race rated Toss-upMississippi: composite congressional lean R+21; Cook PVI R+21.2; 2024 actual R+32.5; 2026 forecast R+17; 2026 Senate race rated Safe RMontana: composite congressional lean R+17.4; Cook PVI R+19.9; 2024 actual R+13.2; 2026 forecast R+17.1; 2026 Senate race rated Safe RNew Hampshire: composite congressional lean D+7.6; Cook PVI D+3.9; 2024 actual D+7; 2026 forecast D+10.2; 2026 Senate race rated Lean DNew York: composite congressional lean D+14.5; Cook PVI D+18.1; 2024 actual D+18; 2026 forecast D+11Ohio: composite congressional lean R+5.4; Cook PVI R+11; 2024 actual R+8.5; 2026 forecast R+0.6; 2026 Senate race rated Toss-upOregon: composite congressional lean D+13.8; Cook PVI D+14.5; 2024 actual D+11.6; 2026 forecast D+14; 2026 Senate race rated Safe DTennessee: composite congressional lean R+24.2; Cook PVI R+28.1; 2024 actual R+31; 2026 forecast R+19.4; 2026 Senate race rated Safe RUtah: composite congressional lean R+22.4; Cook PVI R+23; 2024 actual R+32.2; 2026 forecast R+18.8Virginia: composite congressional lean D+9.8; Cook PVI D+6.9; 2024 actual D+6.4; 2026 forecast D+12.8; 2026 Senate race rated Safe DWashington: composite congressional lean D+12.8; Cook PVI D+18.2; 2024 actual D+14.4; 2026 forecast D+8.7Wisconsin: composite congressional lean R+0.4; Cook PVI R+1.4; 2024 actual R+1.9; 2026 forecast D+0.7Nebraska: composite congressional lean R+16.4; Cook PVI R+21.4; 2024 actual R+19.7; 2026 forecast R+12; 2026 Senate race rated Likely RSouth Carolina: composite congressional lean R+16; Cook PVI R+16.2; 2024 actual R+20.9; 2026 forecast R+14.2; 2026 Senate race rated Safe RIdaho: composite congressional lean R+31.2; Cook PVI R+35.9; 2024 actual R+40.7; 2026 forecast R+24.9; 2026 Senate race rated Safe RNevada: composite congressional lean D+1.8; Cook PVI R+1.6; 2024 actual R+5.2; 2026 forecast D+6.4Vermont: composite congressional lean D+27.6; Cook PVI D+33.5; 2024 actual D+33.9; 2026 forecast D+21.5Louisiana: composite congressional lean R+18.5; Cook PVI R+21.9; 2024 actual R+17.6; 2026 forecast R+16.6; 2026 Senate race rated Safe RRhode Island: composite congressional lean D+18.2; Cook PVI D+16.4; 2024 actual D+21.9; 2026 forecast D+18.1; 2026 Senate race rated Safe DALAKAZCOFLGAINKSMEMAMNNJNCNDOKPASDTXWYCTMOWVILNMARCADEHIIAKYMDMIMSMTNHNYOHORTNUTVAWAWINESCIDNVVTLARI